Preparedness for heavy but sporadic rains on the Ecuadorian Coast this March
March marks the peak of rainfall in the coastal region of Ecuador, with rains that, although intense, will be sporadic. In this context, Ph.D. Franklin Ormaza, oceanographer and research professor of the Faculty of Maritime Engineering and Marine Sciences of ESPOL, shares his analysis of the meteorological conditions expected in the coming days and the importance of adequate preparation.
According to Ormaza, occasional and very heavy rains are expected, especially in areas such as Guayaquil, Machala and Babahoyo. “Although the rains will be decreasing, some important event is not ruled out,” mentions the specialist, who also clarifies that no significant flooding is expected in the city, since the tides are low. Temperatures will range between 24°C in the morning and 28°C to 31°C in the afternoon, with a thermal index that could exceed 35°C.
The expert highlights that the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) will be key to the rainfall behavior, especially towards the north of the country. “At the end of March, the ITCZ will be over Manabí, and in April it will move towards Esmeraldas, which will generate important rains in those provinces,” he explains.
Regarding solar radiation and its relationship with evaporation, Ormaza points out that, in Guayaquil, cloudy to semi-cloudy skies will reduce local evaporation, which will influence the intensity of rainfall. For him, the most important variables are the position of the ITCZ, sea temperature and water vapor transport from the Amazon, while local evaporation has a minor impact.
The oceanographer also warns that there are no remarkable meteorological phenomena in sight, ruling out the possibility of storms or strong winds in the coming days. However, he emphasizes the need for constant preparation for the winter season, recalling that “the whole country must prepare every December to receive the winter, regardless of whether there are El Niño or La Niña phenomena”.
Finally, Ormaza calls on the population to stay informed through official sources such as the National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (Inamhi), Inocar and university research centers. “If you do not understand the information, do not share it or disseminate incorrect data,” concludes the expert.
It is essential to be prepared and have adequate information to face the rainy season.
